By Andrei Rogers
This publication indicates the effectiveness of multiregional demography for learning the spatial dynamics of migration and inhabitants redistribution. It examines very important questions in demographic research and indicates how the innovations of multiregional research may end up in solutions that usually contradict traditional knowledge.
The booklet reconsiders conclusions reached within the literature relating to numerous primary good judgment demographic questions in migration and inhabitants redistribution, together with: Is it more often than not migration or “aging-in-place” that has been using Florida’s aged inhabitants development? Do the aged go back “home” after retirement greater than the non-elderly do? Does longer existence result in longer ill-health? Do easy inhabitants projection versions outperform advanced ones?
For every one demographic query it reconsiders, the publication starts off with an easy empirical numerical instance and with it illustrates how a uniregional specification can bias findings to want a selected, and probably improper, end. It then is going directly to exhibit how a multiregional research can greater remove darkness from the dynamics that underlie the saw inhabitants totals and bring about a extra knowledgeable end.
Offering insights into the effectiveness of multiregional demography, this ebook serves as a necessary source for college kids and researchers trying to find a greater option to resolution questions in demographic research and inhabitants dynamics.
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Additional info for Applied Multiregional Demography: Migration and Population Redistribution
1) illustrates an example of a weighted column sum calculation. 2), below, offers an example of a weighted row sum calculation in which the weights reflect the proportional distribution of those living in the Northeast but born in one of the other three regions: pNE. 2. A. A. A. 3) below, shows how the weighted sum of the three probabilities in the last column (primary, return, and onward) yields the aggregate conditional probability of the total outmigration from the Northeast: pNE. 2). The percentages of primary inmigrants coming into the Northeast, Midwest, and West declined over time, whereas in the South they remained much the same.
In this chapter, their perspective is widened even further, by focusing on interacting population subgroups linked by migration, and on the dynamic impacts that this linkage generates through its contribution of increments as well as decrements to each of these population subgroups. Because migration, unlike mortality, say, is a repeatable event that directly affects two populations (origin and destination) the spatial population dynamics that it creates may introduce counterintuitive demographic consequences, some of which apparently have not been studied either empirically or theoretically (Rogers 1992).
To see this, imagine a migration exchange between two neighboring regions of a biregional system, regions i and j, say, that initially contain populations of equal size, Pi = Pj, say. 2. 3. At each age, the number of migrants from region j to region i exactly equals the number in the reverse direction, and the equality also holds for the corresponding rates. Now imagine that because of higher fertility and immigration levels, say, one population in region j grows more rapidly than the other, such that it becomes 24 2 Does Model Specification Matter?